Under-20s World Cup | Group Stage

May 22, 2023 at 7pm UK

Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

England U20s
1 - 0
Tunisia U20s

Scarlett (25')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Under-20s World Cup Group Stage clash between England Under-20s and Tunisia Under-20s.

Form, Standings, Stats

England Under-20s

Last Game: England U20s 0-0 Iceland U20s
Tuesday, November 19 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Tunisia Under-20s

Last Game: Tunisia U20s 3-1 Egypt U20s
Sunday, December 1 at 12.30pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia Under-20s win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for England Under-20s had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia Under-20s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.02%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest England Under-20s win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
England Under-20s	Draw	Tunisia Under-20s
36.24% ( 0.86)	24.63% ( -0.15)	39.12% ( -0.71)

Both teams to score 59.03% (

0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56% (

0.8)

44% (

-0.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.62% (

0.78)

66.38% (

-0.78)

England Under-20s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.08% (

0.84)

23.92% (

-0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.87% (

1.2)

58.13% (

-1.2)

Tunisia Under-20s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.58% (

-0)

22.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.06% (

-0)

55.94%

Score Analysis

England Under-20s 36.24%

Tunisia Under-20s 39.12%

Draw 24.63%

England Under-20s	Draw	Tunisia Under-20s
2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.05% Total : 36.24%	1-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.63%	1-2 @ 8.58% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.36% Total : 39.12%