Under-20s World Cup | Group Stage

May 22, 2023 at 10pm UK

Estadio Malvinas Argentinas

Gambia U20s
2 - 1
Honduras U20s

Bojang (1', 84')
Rasid Njie (45+6')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Aceituno (5')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Under-20s World Cup Group Stage clash between Gambia Under-20s and Honduras Under-20s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia Under-20s win with a probability of 51.16%. A win for Honduras Under-20s had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gambia Under-20s win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Honduras Under-20s win was 0-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gambia Under-20s would win this match.

Result
Gambia Under-20s	Draw	Honduras Under-20s
51.16% ( 1.86)	24% ( -0.54)	24.83% ( -1.33)

Both teams to score 54.81% (

0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.31% (

1.21)

46.69% (

-1.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.04% (

1.12)

68.95% (

-1.12)

Gambia Under-20s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.73% (

1.2)

18.26% (

-1.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.68% (

2.01)

49.31% (

-2.01)

Honduras Under-20s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.06% (

-0.44)

32.94% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.48% (

-0.49)

69.52% (

0.49)

Score Analysis

Gambia Under-20s 51.15%

Honduras Under-20s 24.83%

Draw 24%

Gambia Under-20s	Draw	Honduras Under-20s
1-0 @ 10.22% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.28) 3-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.31) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.2) 4-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.2) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.43% Total : 51.15%	1-1 @ 11.35% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24%	0-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.43) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.44% Total : 24.83%