Under-20s World Cup | Group Stage

May 21, 2023 at 7pm UK

Estadio Malvinas Argentinas

Nigeria U20s
2 - 1
Dominican Republic U20s

de Pena (31' og.), Lawal (70')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Azcona (23' pen.)
de Pena (63'), Montes De Oca (90+1')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Under-20s World Cup Group Stage clash between Nigeria Under-20s and Dominican Republic Under-20s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria Under-20s win with a probability of 84.52%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Dominican Republic Under-20s had a probability of 4.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria Under-20s win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.77%) and 4-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.15%), while for a Dominican Republic Under-20s win it was 0-1 (1.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nigeria Under-20s would win this match.

Result
Nigeria Under-20s	Draw	Dominican Republic Under-20s
84.52% ( 0.06)	10.83% ( -0.08)	4.65% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 40.46% (

0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.9% (

0.59)

33.1% (

-0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.16% (

0.67)

54.84% (

-0.67)

Nigeria Under-20s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.42% (

0.12)

5.58% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

78.32% (

0.35)

21.68% (

-0.35)

Dominican Republic Under-20s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.85% (

0.53)

57.15% (

-0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.87% (

0.29)

89.12% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

Nigeria Under-20s 84.5%

Dominican Republic Under-20s 4.65%

Draw 10.83%

Nigeria Under-20s	Draw	Dominican Republic Under-20s
2-0 @ 13.27% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 12.77% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 7.43% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.07) 6-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.05) 6-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.04) 7-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.52% Total : 84.5%	1-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.41% Total : 10.83%	0-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.43% Total : 4.65%