European Under-21s Championship | Group Stage

Jun 22, 2023 at 5pm UK

Ramaz Shengelias Sakhelobis Stadioni

Germany U21s
1 - 1
Israel U21s

Aurel Bisseck (26')
Matriciani (15'), Stiller (52')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Turgeman (20')
Gandelman (33'), Karzev (38'), Cohen (78'), Revivo (90+1'), Peretz (90+4')
Karzev (45')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's European Under-21 Championship clash between Germany Under-21s and Israel Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Germany Under-21s

All competitions

Last Game: England U21s 3-1 Germany U21s
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Under-21 Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England Under-21s	0	0	0
2	Czech Republic Under-21s	0	0	0
3	Germany Under-21s	0	0	0
4	Israel Under-21s	0	0	0

Israel Under-21s

Last Game: Spain U21s 3-0 Israel U21s
Tuesday, November 17 at 5.45pm in European Under-21 Championship

We said: Germany Under-21s 2-0 Israel Under-21s

Both of Germany and Israel's battles in qualifying were close-run affairs, and with the Young Chosen Team potentially setting up to frustrate the champions, a similar encounter could be on the cards here. However, Di Salvo's attacking wonderkids can eventually wear down the Israel backline and kick off Germany's title defence in ideal fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany Under-21s win with a probability of 55.46%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Israel Under-21s had a probability of 21.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany Under-21s win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Israel Under-21s win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Germany Under-21s	Draw	Israel Under-21s
55.46% ( 0.09)	22.66% ( -0.03)	21.88% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 55.66% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.14% (

0.06)

43.85% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.76% (

0.06)

66.24% (

-0.06)

Germany Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.32% (

0.05)

15.68% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.27% (

0.1)

44.73% (

-0.1)

Israel Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.01% (

-0.02)

33.98% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.33% (

-0.02)

70.66% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Germany Under-21s 55.46%

Israel Under-21s 21.88%

Draw 22.65%

Germany Under-21s	Draw	Israel Under-21s
1-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 55.46%	1-1 @ 10.65% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.65%	1-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 21.88%