European Under-21s Championship | Group Stage

Jun 25, 2023 at 5pm UK

Cluj Arena

Switzerland U21s
2 - 3
Italy U21s

Imeri (47'), Amdouni (52')
Sohm (36'), Blum (40')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Pirola (6'), Gnonto (11'), Parisi (45+4')
Pellegri (25')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's European Under-21 Championship clash between Switzerland Under-21s and Italy Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Switzerland Under-21s

All competitions

Last Game: Norway U21s 1-2 Switzerland U21s
Thursday, June 22 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France Under-21s	1	1	3
2	Switzerland Under-21s	1	1	3
3	Italy Under-21s	1	-1	0
4	Norway Under-21s	1	-1	0

Italy Under-21s

All competitions

European Under-21 Championship

Last Game: France U21s 2-1 Italy U21s
Thursday, June 22 at 7.45pm in European Under-21 Championship

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France Under-21s	1	1	3
2	Switzerland Under-21s	1	1	3
3	Italy Under-21s	1	-1	0
4	Norway Under-21s	1	-1	0

We said: Switzerland Under-21s 1-3 Italy Under-21s

On the back of their triumph over Norway, Switzerland's confidence will be up, yet they will be torn with going out all for the win when a draw may prove to be sufficient. The indecision may let in their opponents, who we feel will show a ruthless streak in the final third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-21s win with a probability of 74.51%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Switzerland Under-21s had a probability of 8.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-21s win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.66%) and 0-3 (10.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Switzerland Under-21s win it was 1-0 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Italy Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Switzerland Under-21s	Draw	Italy Under-21s
8.71% ( 0.04)	16.78% ( 0.03)	74.51% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 41.56% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.92% (

0.02)

45.07% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.58% (

0.02)

67.42% (

-0.02)

Switzerland Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.43% (

0.12)

53.56% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.99% (

0.07)

87% (

-0.07)

Italy Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.51% (

-0.01)

10.49% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.86% (

-0.03)

34.13% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Switzerland Under-21s 8.71%

Italy Under-21s 74.5%

Draw 16.78%

Switzerland Under-21s	Draw	Italy Under-21s
1-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.64% Total : 8.71%	1-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.48% Total : 16.78%	0-2 @ 14.28% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 10.73% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.7% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 6.05% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 3.78% ( 0) 0-5 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.71% 2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0) 0-6 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 74.5%