Cerrito

1 - 2

Nacional

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 75.86%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Cerrito had a probability of 7.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.7%) and 0-3 (11.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Cerrito win it was 1-0 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.