Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14

Dec 4, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli

Cerro
1 - 1
Plaza Colonia

Peralta (11')
Rodriguez (65')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ebere (57' pen.)
Olivera (8'), Meite (40'), Lorenzi Gomez (88'), Ruiz Diaz (88')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro and Plaza Colonia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro

All competitions

Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-0 Cerro
Thursday, November 30 at 8.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Plaza Colonia

All competitions

Last Game: Plaza Colonia 0-1 Racing
Tuesday, November 28 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 0-1 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Cerro	Draw	Plaza Colonia
40.14% ( -0.57)	28.82% ( 0.38)	31.04% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 44.67% (

-0.96)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.26% (

-1.23)

61.74% (

1.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.45% (

-0.91)

81.54% (

0.92)

Cerro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.9% (

-0.93)

30.09% (

0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.77% (

-1.13)

66.23% (

1.13)

Plaza Colonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.9% (

-0.52)

36.09% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.12% (

-0.53)

72.87% (

0.53)

Score Analysis

Cerro 40.14%

Plaza Colonia 31.03%

Draw 28.81%

Cerro	Draw	Plaza Colonia
1-0 @ 13.04% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.43% Total : 40.14%	1-1 @ 13.29% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.81%	0-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.96% Total : 31.03%