Cardiff MU

2 - 2

Caernarfon

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 59.27%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 20.72% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.71%) and 3-1 (7.08%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (5.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.