Euro 2022

Women's European Championship | Group Stage

Jul 17, 2022 at 5pm UK

Leigh Sports Village Stadium

Sweden Women
5 - 0
Portugal Women

Angeldal (21', 45'), Costa (45+7' og.), Asllani (54' pen.), Blackstenius (90+1')
Ericsson (18'), Rytting-Kaneryd (30')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Borges (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's European Championship clash between Sweden Women and Portugal Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden Women

Last Six:

Last Game: Sweden Women 2-1 Switzerland W
Wednesday, July 13 at 5pm in Women's European Championship

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Netherlands Women	2	1	4
2	Sweden Women	2	1	4
3	Portugal Women	2	-1	1
4	Switzerland Women	2	-1	1

Portugal Women

Last Six:

Last Game: N'lands Women 3-2 Portugal Women
Wednesday, July 13 at 8pm in Women's European Championship

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Netherlands Women	2	1	4
2	Sweden Women	2	1	4
3	Portugal Women	2	-1	1
4	Switzerland Women	2	-1	1

We said: Sweden Women 2-1 Portugal Women

Although Portugal have shown great character in their opening two games, they have struggled defensively, and we think Sweden will take advantage of any vulnerability in the Portuguese backline to clinch three points on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden Women win with a probability of 60.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Portugal Women had a probability of 16.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Portugal Women win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sweden Women would win this match.

Result
Sweden Women	Draw	Portugal Women
60.53% ( 0.02)	23.14% ( 0)	16.32% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 44.79% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.45% (

-0.04)

53.55% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.94% (

-0.03)

75.06% (

0.03)

Sweden Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.65% (

-0.01)

17.34% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.27% (

-0.01)

47.73% (

0.01)

Portugal Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.19% (

-0.05)

45.81% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.42% (

-0.04)

81.57% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Sweden Women 60.52%

Portugal Women 16.32%

Draw 23.14%

Sweden Women	Draw	Portugal Women
1-0 @ 13.91% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 12.19% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.12% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.56% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.12% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.09% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 60.52%	1-1 @ 10.86% 0-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.62% Total : 23.14%	0-1 @ 6.2% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.42% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 1.39% Total : 16.32%