Women's World Cup | Group Stage

Aug 2, 2023 at 8am UK

Westpac Stadium

S. Africa Women
3 - 2
Italy Women

Orsi (32' og.), Magaia (67'), Kgatlana (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Caruso (11' pen., 74')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's World Cup clash between South Africa Women and Italy Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Africa Women

All competitions

Last Game: Argentina Women 2-2 S. Africa Women
Friday, July 28 at 1am in Women's World Cup

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden Women	2	6	6
2	Italy Women	2	-4	3
3	South Africa Women	2	-1	1
4	Argentina Women	2	-1	1

Italy Women

All competitions

Women's World Cup

Last Game: Sweden Women 5-0 Italy Women
Saturday, July 29 at 8.30am in Women's World Cup

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden Women	2	6	6
2	Italy Women	2	-4	3
3	South Africa Women	2	-1	1
4	Argentina Women	2	-1	1

We said: South Africa Women 1-2 Italy Women

Italy will have to pick themselves up from the disappointment of Friday's heavy defeat to Sweden, while South Africa will still be frustrated with giving up a two-goal lead against Argentina. South Africa know that only a win will do, but we think that they will be edged out by the Italians, who are looking to reach the knockout rounds at consecutive World Cups. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Women win with a probability of 87.04%. A draw had a probability of 8.9% and a win for South Africa Women had a probability of 4.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.76%) and 0-4 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.17%), while for a South Africa Women win it was 2-1 (1.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
South Africa Women	Draw	Italy Women
4.06% ( 0.1)	8.9% ( 0.19)	87.04% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 45.15% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.81% (

-0.51)

25.19% (

0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.84% (

-0.66)

45.16% (

0.67)

South Africa Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.93% (

-0.03)

53.07% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.3% (

-0.02)

86.7% (

0.02)

Italy Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.22% (

-0.12)

3.78% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

83.83% (

-0.4)

16.17% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

South Africa Women 4.06%

Italy Women 87.03%

Draw 8.9%

South Africa Women	Draw	Italy Women
2-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.47% Total : 4.06%	1-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.57% Total : 8.9%	0-3 @ 11.75% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 10.76% ( 0.14) 0-4 @ 9.62% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 7.44% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.15) 0-5 @ 6.3% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 6.09% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 3.99% ( -0.07) 0-6 @ 3.44% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0) 1-6 @ 2.18% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) 0-7 @ 1.61% ( -0.06) 2-5 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) 1-7 @ 1.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.88% Total : 87.03%