World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 16, 2023 at 4pm UK

Stade Mustapha Tchaker

Algeria
3 - 1
Somalia

Abdullahi Abdi (2' og.), Bounedjah (31'), Slimani (80')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ahmed (65')
Mohamed (75')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Algeria and Somalia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Algeria

All competitions

Last Game: Egypt 1-1 Algeria
Monday, October 16 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Burkina Faso	0	0	0
2	Angola	0	0	0
3	Algeria	0	0	0
4	Mauritania	0	0	0

Somalia

Last Game: Somalia 0-2 Sierra Leone
Tuesday, October 17 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies

We said: Algeria 4-0 Somalia

Algeria boast a vastly superior squad, and it is hard to envisage any other outcome than a win for them. We can see the hosts cruising to a comfortable win come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 95.29%. A draw had a probability of 4.3% and a win for Somalia had a probability of 0.42%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 3-0 with a probability of 19.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.43%) and 4-0 (16.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (3.05%), while for a Somalia win it was 0-1 (0.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.

Result
Algeria	Draw	Somalia
95.29% ( 0.01)	4.29% ( -0)	0.42% ( -0)

Both teams to score 10% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.72% (

-0.02)

32.28% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.11% (

-0.02)

53.89% (

0.02)

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.59% (

3.41% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

85.09% (

-0)

14.91% (

0.01)

Somalia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

10.35% (

-0.06)

89.65% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

0.55% (

-0.01)

99.45% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Algeria 95.27%

Somalia 0.42%

Draw 4.29%

Algeria	Draw	Somalia
3-0 @ 19.64% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 17.43% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 16.59% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 6.32% ( 0) 7-0 @ 3.05% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 8-0 @ 1.29% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 95.27%	0-0 @ 3.05% ( 0) 1-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 4.29%	Other @ 0.42% Total : 0.42%