World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 20, 2023 at 1pm UK

Cairo International Stadium

Djibouti
0 - 1
Guinea-Bissau

Mohamed Aden (36'), Araita (54')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Rodrigues (39')
Mendes (49'), Djalo (90+1')
Mendes (82')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Djibouti and Guinea-Bissau, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Djibouti

Last Game: Egypt 6-0 Djibouti
Thursday, November 16 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Guinea-Bissau

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Burkina Faso 1-1 Guinea-Bissau
Friday, November 17 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	0	0	0
2	Ivory Coast	0	0	0
3	Nigeria	0	0	0
4	Guinea-Bissau	0	0	0

We said: Djibouti 1-2 Guinea-Bissau

Guinea-Bissau have been steadily improving in recent times and could be a dark horse in this group. The visitors beat Nigeria earlier this year, and after holding Burkina Faso to a draw on the road last week, they are now unbeaten in their last three. Against one of the lowest-ranked teams on the continent, we are expecting the African wild dogs to claim their first win of the competition in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea-Bissau win with a probability of 82.81%. A draw had a probability of 12.2% and a win for Djibouti had a probability of 5.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea-Bissau win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (13.1%) and 0-1 (11.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.72%), while for a Djibouti win it was 1-0 (2.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Guinea-Bissau would win this match.

Result
Djibouti	Draw	Guinea-Bissau
5.01% ( 0.05)	12.18% ( 0.02)	82.81% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 37.47% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.53% (

0.2)

38.46% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.24% (

0.21)

60.76% (

-0.21)

Djibouti Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

40.28% (

0.33)

59.72% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.49% (

0.17)

90.51% (

-0.17)

Guinea-Bissau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.02% (

0.02)

6.98% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.43% (

0.07)

25.56% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Djibouti 5.01%

Guinea-Bissau 82.8%

Draw 12.18%

Djibouti	Draw	Guinea-Bissau
1-0 @ 2.15% ( 0) 2-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.38% Total : 5.01%	1-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.33% Total : 12.18%	0-2 @ 14.77% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 13.1% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 8.72% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 6.76% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 4.64% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 4.5% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 0-6 @ 2.06% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) 1-6 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 82.8%