World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 20, 2023 at 4pm UK

Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium

Gambia
0 - 2
Ivory Coast

Badamosi (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kouame (45'), Fofana (85')
Adingra (38'), Konate (78')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Gambia and Ivory Coast, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gambia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Burundi 3-2 Gambia
Thursday, November 16 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	0	0	0
2	Cameroon	0	0	0
3	Guinea	0	0	0
4	Gambia	0	0	0

Ivory Coast

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Ivory Coast 9-0 Seychelles
Friday, November 17 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	0	0	0
2	Ivory Coast	0	0	0
3	Nigeria	0	0	0
4	Guinea-Bissau	0	0	0

We said: Gambia 1-3 Ivory Coast

Gambia have improved significantly over the last few years, but they face an Ivory Coast side in this one that are overflowing with talent. While we are not expecting another 9-0 victory as they managed last week, we do still feel that the Elephants will claim a fairly comfortable win in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 52.83%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Gambia had a probability of 19.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.47%) and 1-2 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Gambia win it was 1-0 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.

Result
Gambia	Draw	Ivory Coast
19.89% ( -0.05)	27.28% ( -0.05)	52.83% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 40.02% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.86% (

0.13)

63.13% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.44% (

0.09)

82.56% (

-0.09)

Gambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.85% (

0.02)

47.14% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.4% (

0.01)

82.59% (

-0.01)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.73% (

0.1)

24.27% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.37% (

0.15)

58.63% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Gambia 19.89%

Ivory Coast 52.83%

Draw 27.27%

Gambia	Draw	Ivory Coast
1-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 4.58% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.32% Total : 19.89%	1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.44% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.41% Total : 27.27%	0-1 @ 16.2% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 11.47% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 5.41% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.16% Total : 52.83%