World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Nov 16, 2023 at 10.02am UK

Nishigaoka National Stadium

Japan
5 - 0
Myanmar

Ueda (11', 45+4', 50'), Kamada (28'), Doan (86')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Aung Wai (45+3')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Japan and Myanmar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan

All competitions

Last Game: Japan 2-0 Tunisia
Tuesday, October 17 at 11.10am in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	3	1	6
2	Spain	3	6	4
3	Germany	3	1	4
4	Costa Rica	3	-8	3

Myanmar

Last Game: Macao 0-0 Myanmar
Tuesday, October 17 at 12.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

While Japan will take no team lightly as they bid to earn a place in the 2026 Finals, this is a light opening for the Asian giants. We can only expect a routine 90 minutes with plenty of players getting game time to take control of the group. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 75.33%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Myanmar had a probability of 8.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.68%) and 3-0 (10.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%), while for a Myanmar win it was 0-1 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.

Result
Japan	Draw	Myanmar
75.33% ( 0.02)	16.09% ( -0.01)	8.58% ( -0)

Both teams to score 43.36% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.67% (

0.02)

42.33% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.26% (

0.02)

64.74% (

-0.01)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.43% (

0.01)

9.57% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.97% (

0.02)

32.03% (

-0.02)

Myanmar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.95% (

52.05% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.96% (

86.04% (

Score Analysis

Japan 75.31%

Myanmar 8.58%

Draw 16.09%

Japan	Draw	Myanmar
2-0 @ 13.71% 1-0 @ 11.68% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 10.72% 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7% ( 0) 4-0 @ 6.29% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.11% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.95% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.93% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.34% 6-0 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 75.31%	1-1 @ 7.63% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( -0) 2-2 @ 2.92% Other @ 0.55% Total : 16.09%	0-1 @ 3.25% ( -0) 1-2 @ 2.49% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 8.58%