World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 20, 2023 at 4pm UK

Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex

Liberia
0 - 1
Eq Guinea

Kenneh (27')
Kenneh (45')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Nsue (9')
Miranda (38'), Salvador (52'), Owono (80')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Liberia and Equatorial Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Liberia

Last Game: Liberia 0-1 Malawi
Friday, November 17 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Eq Guinea 1-0 Namibia
Wednesday, November 15 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	0	0	0
2	Ivory Coast	0	0	0
3	Nigeria	0	0	0
4	Guinea-Bissau	0	0	0

We said: Liberia 0-2 Equatorial Guinea

Equatorial Guinea have enjoyed a brilliant year and will be looking to end the calendar on a positive note. The Nzalang Nacional head into the game as the more in-form side and we are backing them to come away with all three points against Liberia who have lost their last five outings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 50.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 22.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.23%) and 1-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Liberia win it was 1-0 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Equatorial Guinea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Equatorial Guinea.

Result
Liberia	Draw	Equatorial Guinea
22.87% ( 0.82)	26.83% ( -0.05)	50.3% ( -0.76)

Both teams to score 44.53% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.84% (

0.83)

59.17% (

-0.83)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.4% (

0.64)

79.6% (

-0.63)

Liberia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.35% (

1.3)

41.66% (

-1.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.87% (

1.12)

78.14% (

-1.11)

Equatorial Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.33% (

0.01)

23.67% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.22% (

0.02)

57.79% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Liberia 22.87%

Equatorial Guinea 50.29%

Draw 26.82%

Liberia	Draw	Equatorial Guinea
1-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.17% Total : 22.87%	1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.6% Total : 26.82%	0-1 @ 14.2% ( -0.45) 0-2 @ 10.23% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 4.92% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 50.29%