World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Nov 16, 2023 at 3.45pm UK

Khalifa International Stadium

Qatar
8 - 1
Afghanistan

Al Heidos (11'), Ali (15', 26', 33' pen., 45+3' pen.), Mashaal (18'), Alaaeldin (53' pen.), Al-Abdullah (90+4')

FT(HT: 6-1)

Sharifi (13')
Azizi (32'), Ataee (65'), Samandari (68'), Hanifi (86')
Ataee (90+5')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Qatar and Afghanistan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qatar

All competitions

Last Game: Qatar 0-4 Iran
Tuesday, October 17 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mexico	3	5	6
2	Qatar	3	0	4
3	Honduras	3	-3	4
4	Haiti	3	-2	3

Afghanistan

Last Game: Mongolia 0-1 Afghanistan
Tuesday, October 17 at 8am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Qatar 4-0 Afghanistan

Qatar boast plenty more quality and international experience than their visitors, and they should fancy themselves to kick off the qualifying campaign with a dominant victory on home soil on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Afghanistan had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Afghanistan win was 0-1 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Qatar would win this match.

Result
Qatar	Draw	Afghanistan
37.02% ( 2.76)	27.93% ( -0.65)	35.05% ( -2.11)

Both teams to score 47.98% (

1.98)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.99% (

2.41)

58.01% (

-2.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.3% (

1.86)

78.7% (

-1.86)

Qatar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.89% (

30.11% (

-3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.75% (

3.45)

66.25% (

-3.46)

Afghanistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.65% (

-0.12)

31.35% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.29% (

-0.14)

67.71% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Qatar 37.01%

Afghanistan 35.04%

Draw 27.93%

Qatar	Draw	Afghanistan
1-0 @ 11.32% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.54) 2-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.48) 3-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.45) 3-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.39) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.26) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.2) Other @ 2.35% Total : 37.01%	1-1 @ 13.14% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.89) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.3) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.93%	0-1 @ 10.94% ( -1.09) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.65) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.26) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.96% Total : 35.04%