World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 21, 2023 at 4pm UK
We said: South Sudan 0-1 Mauritania
South Sudan and Mauritania have both stumbled into the qualifiers and will head into Tuesday's game in search of a pick-me-up. The Bright Stars have lost their last four competitive matches and we see them struggling against Abdou's men, who have won three of their last five outings.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritania win with a probability of 65.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 12.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mauritania win was 0-1 with a probability of 17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.73%) and 1-2 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a South Sudan win it was 1-0 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
Result |
South Sudan | Draw | Mauritania |
12.12% ( -0.08) | 22.69% ( 0.28) | 65.19% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 36.62% ( -0.86) |