World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 16, 2023 at 4pm UK

First Statement Stadium

Sudan
1 - 1
Togo

Eisa (17' pen.)
Agab (27'), Adil (49')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Denkey (43')
Dakonam (61')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Sudan and Togo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sudan

All competitions

Last Game: Chad 0-1 Sudan
Tuesday, October 17 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

Togo

All competitions

Last Game: Togo 3-2 Cape Verde
Sunday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Congo DR	3	3	7
2	Morocco	3	2	6
3	Ivory Coast	3	-1	2
4	Togo	3	-4	1

While Sudan have experienced an uptick in results since their poor AFCON qualification campaign, there has been very little consistency in the starting 11, which could prove costly for them in this competition. Togo, on the other hand, seem fairly settled, especially in attacking positions, and we feel they will get off to a winning start in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Togo win with a probability of 52.56%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 21.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Togo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.83%) and 1-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Sudan win it was 1-0 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Sudan	Draw	Togo
21.13% ( 0.23)	26.31% ( 0.04)	52.56% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 43.89% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.06% (

0.09)

58.94% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.58% (

0.07)

79.42% (

-0.07)

Sudan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.69% (

0.3)

43.31% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.45% (

0.25)

79.55% (

-0.25)

Togo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.43% (

-0.08)

22.58% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.83% (

-0.11)

56.18% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Sudan 21.13%

Togo 52.56%

Draw 26.31%

Sudan	Draw	Togo
1-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 1% Total : 21.13%	1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.57% Total : 26.31%	0-1 @ 14.55% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 10.83% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.06% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.37% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 52.56%