World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | First Round | 1st Leg

Oct 12, 2023 at 6pm UK

Adama Stadium

Yemen
3 - 0
Sri Lanka

(Yemen win 4-1 on aggregate)

Maher (33'), Al-Gahwashi (67'), Al Matari (90+3')
Al Tairi (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rathnayake (14'), Fernando (23'), F. Kurukulasuriya N. (23')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia First Round clash between Yemen and Sri Lanka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Yemen

Last Game: Palestine 3-0 Yemen
Tuesday, June 15 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Sri Lanka

Last Game: Sri Lanka 0-5 South Korea
Wednesday, June 9 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sri Lanka win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Yemen had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sri Lanka win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Yemen win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Yemen	Draw	Sri Lanka
36.43% ( 1.15)	25.78% ( 0.34)	37.8% ( -1.48)

Both teams to score 54.99% (

-1.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.8% (

-1.4)

49.21% (

1.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.73% (

-1.28)

71.27% (

1.28)

Yemen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.77% (

0.01)

26.23% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.67% (

0.01)

61.33% (

-0)

Sri Lanka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.54% (

-1.43)

25.46% (

1.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.71% (

-2)

60.29% (

Score Analysis

Yemen 36.43%

Sri Lanka 37.8%

Draw 25.77%

Yemen	Draw	Sri Lanka
1-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.5) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.34) 3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.29% Total : 36.43%	1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.77%	0-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.26) 0-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.15) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.8%