Australian A-League | Gameweek 27

Jan 12, 2024 at 9.15am UK

AAMI Park

Melbourne City
0 - 1
Western Sydney

Ugarkovic (58'), Sakhi (80'), Arslan (90+6'), Young (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pierias (27')
Rudan (38'), Younis (90+1')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Live Updates

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Western Sydney Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions

Australian A-League

Last Game: Western Utd 1-2 Melbourne City
Sunday, January 7 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Western Sydney 0-1 Central Coast
Saturday, January 6 at 6.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 51.14%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.31%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers
51.14% ( -0.04)	20.75% ( 0.01)	28.11% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 69.78% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.58% (

-0.02)

28.42% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.73% (

-0.03)

49.26% (

0.03)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.29% (

-0.02)

11.7% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.18% (

-0.04)

36.81% (

0.04)

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.03% (

0.01)

20.97% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.27% (

0.01)

53.72% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 51.14%

Western Sydney Wanderers 28.11%

Draw 20.75%

Melbourne City	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 8.82% 3-1 @ 6.31% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.65% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.27% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.93% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.38% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.64% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.17% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.38% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.13% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 51.14%	1-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.57% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.45% ( 0) Other @ 0.62% Total : 20.75%	1-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.59% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.66% Total : 28.11%