Australian A-League | Gameweek 10

Dec 30, 2023 at 6.30am UK

McDonald Jones Stadium

Newcastle Jets
2 - 0
Western Utd

Buhagiar (9', 22')
Stamatelopoulos (45+1'), Aquilina (90+2')
Stamatelopoulos (58')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Tratt (45')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Live Updates

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Western United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 3-1 Newcastle Jets
Friday, December 22 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Sydney FC 4-2 Western Utd
Saturday, December 23 at 6.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Western United had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle Jets would win this match.

Result
Newcastle Jets	Draw	Western United
46.05% ( -0.04)	23.19% ( 0)	30.75% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 62.42% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.21% (

38.79% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.9% (

61.1% (

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.8% (

-0.01)

17.21% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.51% (

-0.03)

47.49% (

0.03)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.39% (

0.03)

24.61% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.89% (

0.04)

59.11% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Newcastle Jets 46.05%

Western United 30.75%

Draw 23.19%

Newcastle Jets	Draw	Western United
2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.45% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0) Other @ 4.1% Total : 46.05%	1-1 @ 10.44% 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.23% 3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.19%	1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 30.75%