Australian A-League | Gameweek 21

Mar 16, 2024 at 4.30am UK

Eden Park

Wellington
2 - 1
Sydney FC

Matthews (54' og.), Barbarouses (69')
Sutton (79'), Wootton (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mak (6')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Live Updates

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Sydney FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Melbourne City 1-0 Wellington
Saturday, March 9 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Sydney FC

All competitions

Last Game: Sydney FC 1-1 Brisbane Roar
Sunday, March 10 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 36.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.53%) and 0-2 (5.37%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Sydney FC
36.97% ( -0.36)	23.3% ( 0.09)	39.73% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 64.11% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.58% (

-0.47)

37.42% (

0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.36% (

-0.51)

59.64% (

0.51)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.43% (

-0.39)

20.57% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.9% (

-0.61)

53.1% (

0.61)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.72% (

-0.08)

19.28% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.99% (

-0.13)

51.01% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Wellington Phoenix 36.97%

Sydney FC 39.73%

Draw 23.3%

Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Sydney FC
2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 4.96% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.99% Total : 36.97%	1-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.3%	1-2 @ 8.5% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 4.66% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.92% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.38% Total : 39.73%