Australian A-League | Gameweek 23

Apr 6, 2024 at 5.30am UK

AAMI Park

Western Utd
4 - 2
Macarthur

Danzaki (52'), Ruhs (56', 66'), Grimaldi (59')
Vidmar (16'), Wales (35'), Risdon (55'), Garuccio (62'), Ruhs (64')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Germain (17' pen.), Davila (24')
Vujica (38'), Borges Rodrigues (55'), Rose (81')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Macarthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 4-1 Western Utd
Friday, March 29 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Macarthur 1-3 Western Sydney
Monday, April 1 at 5am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.61%) and 3-1 (5.11%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.

Result
Western United	Draw	Macarthur
41.93% ( -0.6)	22.31% ( 0.17)	35.76% ( 0.42)

Both teams to score 67.81% (

-0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.45% (

-0.81)

32.54% (

0.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.8% (

-0.94)

54.19% (

0.94)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.67% (

-0.56)

16.32% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.09% (

-1.02)

45.91% (

1.02)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.03% (

-0.17)

18.96% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.5% (

-0.28)

50.49% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Western United 41.93%

Macarthur 35.76%

Draw 22.31%

Western United	Draw	Macarthur
2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.05) 4-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.65% Total : 41.93%	1-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.31%	1-2 @ 7.76% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) 3-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.76%