Australian A-League | Gameweek 15

Feb 20, 2022 at 7.45am UK

GMHBA Stadium

Western Utd
3 - 2
Western Sydney

Prijovic (27'), Garuccio (45+2', 68')
Lacroix (55')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Hemed (51' pen.), Ugarkovic (86')
Traore (33'), Hemed (47'), Cancar (53')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Western Sydney Wanderers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.

Result
Western United	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers
38.67%	25.38%	35.95%

Both teams to score 56.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.55%

47.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.34%

69.66%

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.82%

24.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.49%

58.51%

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.32%

25.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.41%

60.58%

Score Analysis

Western United 38.67%

Western Sydney Wanderers 35.95%

Draw 25.38%

Western United	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.81% 2-1 @ 8.51% 2-0 @ 6.26% 3-1 @ 4.02% 3-0 @ 2.96% 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.05% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.93% Total : 38.67%	1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 6.21% 2-2 @ 5.78% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38%	0-1 @ 8.44% 1-2 @ 8.15% 0-2 @ 5.74% 1-3 @ 3.69% 2-3 @ 2.62% 0-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.45% Total : 35.95%