Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 14, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stade Felix Houphouet-Boigny

Egypt
2 - 2
Mozambique

Mohamed (2'), Salah (90+7' pen.)
Abdelmonem (75')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Witi (55'), Bauque (58')
Mandava (62'), Guimaraes (72'), King (90+12')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Egypt and Mozambique, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Egypt

All competitions

Last Game: Egypt 2-0 Tanzania
Sunday, January 7 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	0	0	0
2	Ghana	0	0	0
3	Egypt	0	0	0
4	Mozambique	0	0	0

Mozambique

All competitions

Last Game: Botswana 1-1 Mozambique
Monday, January 8 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	0	0	0
2	Ghana	0	0	0
3	Egypt	0	0	0
4	Mozambique	0	0	0

We said: Egypt 3-0 Mozambique

While Mozambique may back themselves to secure a shock result, Egypt's superior quality should lead to a comfortable win for the Pharaohs on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 69.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 10.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.39%) and 3-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Egypt	Draw	Mozambique
69.38% ( -0.02)	20.46% ( 0.01)	10.16% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 36.48% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.43% (

-0)

55.56% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.26% (

-0)

76.73%

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.93% (

-0.01)

15.06% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.41% (

-0.01)

43.58% (

0.01)

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.95% (

0.02)

57.04% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.93% (

0.01)

89.06% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Egypt 69.37%

Mozambique 10.16%

Draw 20.46%

Egypt	Draw	Mozambique
1-0 @ 16.26% 2-0 @ 15.39% 3-0 @ 9.71% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.45% 4-0 @ 4.6% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.58% 5-0 @ 1.74% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.53% 5-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.49% Total : 69.37%	1-1 @ 9.13% ( 0) 0-0 @ 8.59% ( 0) 2-2 @ 2.43% ( 0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.46%	0-1 @ 4.82% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.56% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 1.42% Total : 10.16%