Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 19, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stade de Yamoussoukro

Senegal
3 - 1
Cameroon

Sarr (16'), Diallo (71'), Mane (90+5')
Diallo (58')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Castelletto (83')
Kemen (45+3'), Castelletto (48'), Neyou (75')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Senegal and Cameroon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Senegal

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Senegal 3-0 Gambia
Monday, January 15 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	1	3	3
2	Cameroon	1	0	1
3	Guinea	1	0	1
4	Gambia	1	-3	0

Cameroon

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Cameroon 1-1 Guinea
Monday, January 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	1	3	3
2	Cameroon	1	0	1
3	Guinea	1	0	1
4	Gambia	1	-3	0

Based on the first round of matches in this year's AFCON, Senegal looks like one of the sides to beat. The Lions of Teranga have been especially good in defence in recent months, and we fancy they will be able to shut out a Cameroon side that were far from impressive in their opening match of the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 57.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Cameroon had a probability of 16.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.8%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Cameroon win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.

Result
Senegal	Draw	Cameroon
57.24% ( 2.06)	26.1% ( -0.58)	16.66% ( -1.48)

Both teams to score 38.1% (

-0.96)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.07% (

0.1)

62.93% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.59% (

0.08)

82.41% (

-0.08)

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.73% (

0.92)

22.27% (

-0.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.29% (

1.37)

55.71% (

-1.37)

Cameroon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.01% (

-1.84)

50.99% (

1.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.67% (

-1.27)

85.33% (

1.27)

Score Analysis

Senegal 57.23%

Cameroon 16.66%

Draw 26.09%

Senegal	Draw	Cameroon
1-0 @ 17.05% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 12.8% ( 0.63) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.48) 3-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.24) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.53% Total : 57.23%	1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.35) 0-0 @ 11.35% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.35% Total : 26.09%	0-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.45) 1-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.3) Other @ 2.57% Total : 16.66%