Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 52.26%. A win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.43%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest IFK Norrkoping win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sirius would win this match.

Result
Sirius	Draw	IFK Norrkoping
52.26% ( 0.02)	20.76% ( 0.01)	26.98% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 68.69% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.59% (

-0.08)

29.4% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.52% (

-0.1)

50.47% (

0.09)

Sirius Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.27% (

-0.02)

11.73% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.13% (

-0.05)

36.86% (

0.05)

IFK Norrkoping Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.82% (

-0.06)

22.17% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.42% (

-0.09)

55.57% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Sirius 52.26%

IFK Norrkoping 26.98%

Draw 20.76%

Sirius	Draw	IFK Norrkoping
2-1 @ 9% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.44% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.48% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.11% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.99% Total : 52.26%	1-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.78% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.56% Total : 20.76%	1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.95% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 26.98%