Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4

Feb 18, 2023 at 10.15pm UK

Estadio Diego Armando Maradona

Argentinos Jrs
3 - 0
Belgrano

Gonzalez (4'), Gabriel Montiel (52'), Avalos (72')
Dominguez (32')
Redondo (41')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Compagnucci (16'), Meriano (51')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Argentinos Juniors and Belgrano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentinos Juniors

All competitions

Last Game: River Plate 2-1 Argentinos Jrs
Sunday, February 12 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Belgrano

All competitions

Last Game: C. Cordoba 0-1 Belgrano
Saturday, February 11 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 49.9%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 21.65%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.

Result
Argentinos Juniors	Draw	Belgrano
49.9% ( 0.02)	28.44% ( -0.02)	21.65% ( -0)

Both teams to score 39.37% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.88% (

0.05)

65.12% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.02% (

0.04)

83.97% (

-0.03)

Argentinos Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.45% (

0.03)

26.55% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.24% (

0.04)

61.76% (

-0.05)

Belgrano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.61% (

0.03)

46.39% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.98% (

0.02)

82.02% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Argentinos Juniors 49.9%

Belgrano 21.65%

Draw 28.43%

Argentinos Juniors	Draw	Belgrano
1-0 @ 16.33% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.79% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 1.74% Total : 49.9%	1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 12.31% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.39% Total : 28.43%	0-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.82% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.58% Total : 21.65%