Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 26

Jul 23, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Monumental Presidente Jose Fierro

Tucuman
1 - 0
Independiente

Estigarribia (19' pen.)
Guille (23'), Romero (41'), Ortiz (63'), Ruiz (68'), Bianchi (86'), Ojeda (90+7')
Bianchi (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Costa (45+4'), Ortiz (70'), Laso (73'), Martinez (90+4'), Gimenez Rojas (90+6')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Atletico Tucuman and Independiente.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Tucuman

All competitions

Last Game: Newell's OB 0-0 Tucuman
Tuesday, July 18 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Independiente

All competitions

Last Game: C. Cordoba 0-1 Independiente
Monday, July 17 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 43.36%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 26.31%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.6%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Tucuman in this match.

Result
Atletico Tucuman	Draw	Independiente
43.36% ( 0.05)	30.33% ( -0)	26.31% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 38.85% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.19% (

-0.02)

67.81% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.19% (

-0.01)

85.81% (

0.01)

Atletico Tucuman Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.67% (

0.02)

31.32% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.31% (

0.02)

67.68% (

-0.03)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.57% (

-0.06)

43.43% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.35% (

-0.05)

79.65% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Atletico Tucuman 43.35%

Independiente 26.31%

Draw 30.32%

Atletico Tucuman	Draw	Independiente
1-0 @ 15.79% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.96% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 43.35%	0-0 @ 13.6% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 13.17% 2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0) Other @ 0.37% Total : 30.32%	0-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.9% Total : 26.31%