Belgrano are more than capable of making this a tricky match for San Lorenzo, and the visitors will be wary of the quality of Vegetti in particular. San Lorenzo are a very difficult team to beat, though, and we are expecting the third-placed side to claim an important three points on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 35.76%. A draw had a probability of 32.7% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 31.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.29%) and 2-1 (6.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.33%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (14.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for San Lorenzo in this match.

Result
Belgrano	Draw	San Lorenzo
35.76% ( 0.25)	32.72% ( 0.1)	31.51% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 35.44% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

27.25% (

-0.26)

72.75% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

11.06% (

-0.16)

88.94% (

0.16)

Belgrano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.12% (

0.02)

38.87% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.39% (

0.02)

75.6% (

-0.02)

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.97% (

-0.42)

42.03% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.54% (

-0.37)

78.46% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Belgrano 35.76%

San Lorenzo 31.51%

Draw 32.71%

Belgrano	Draw	San Lorenzo
1-0 @ 15.43% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 6.32% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 35.76%	0-0 @ 16.33% ( 0.16) 1-1 @ 13.38% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.26% Total : 32.71%	0-1 @ 14.16% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.96% Total : 31.51%