Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 26

Jul 25, 2023 at 12.45am UK

Estadio Alberto Jose Armando

Boca Juniors
2 - 1
Newell's OB

Hoyos (21' og.), Medina (46')
Valentini (55'), Merentiel (58'), Fernandez (62'), Valdez (73'), Medina (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Eduardo Recalde (90+2')
Mosquera (70'), Eduardo Recalde (85')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Newell's Old Boys.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions

Argentine Primera Division

Last Game: Gimnasia 1-3 Boca Juniors
Sunday, July 16 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newell's Old Boys

All competitions

Argentine Primera Division

Last Game: Newell's OB 0-0 Tucuman
Tuesday, July 18 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 52.33%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 20.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Boca Juniors	Draw	Newell's Old Boys
52.33% ( -0.06)	27.2% ( -0.02)	20.47% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 40.91% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.61% (

0.12)

62.39% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.98% (

0.08)

82.02% (

-0.09)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.83% (

0.02)

24.17% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.51% (

0.04)

58.49% (

-0.04)

Newell's Old Boys Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.95% (

0.15)

46.05% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.24% (

0.11)

81.76% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Boca Juniors 52.32%

Newell's Old Boys 20.47%

Draw 27.19%

Boca Juniors	Draw	Newell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 15.8% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 11.22% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.89% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 52.32%	1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.44% Total : 27.19%	0-1 @ 8.63% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 20.47%