Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 14

Apr 30, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Alberto José Armando

Boca Juniors
3 - 1
Racing

Payero (3'), Fernandez (6'), Merentiel (90')
Roncaglia (31'), Barco (54')
Payero (61')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Reniero (69')
Arias (61'), Moreno (90+5')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Racing Club.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions

Argentine Primera Division

Last Game: Rosario 2-2 Boca Juniors
Sunday, April 23 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Racing Club

All competitions

Argentine Primera Division

Last Game: Racing 1-3 Tucuman
Monday, April 24 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Boca Juniors	Draw	Racing Club
39.63% ( 0.36)	27.88% ( 0.02)	32.5% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 47.72% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.85% (

-0.16)

58.14% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.2% (

-0.13)

78.8% (

0.12)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.36% (

0.13)

28.63% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.56% (

0.16)

64.44% (

-0.16)

Racing Club Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.87% (

-0.35)

33.13% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.27% (

-0.39)

69.73% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Boca Juniors 39.62%

Racing Club 32.5%

Draw 27.87%

Boca Juniors	Draw	Racing Club
1-0 @ 11.86% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.72% Total : 39.62%	1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.87%	0-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.53% Total : 32.5%