Estudiantes

3 - 1

Lanus

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 47.05%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.