Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3

Jun 15, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata, Provincia de Buenos Aires)

Estudiantes
2 - 1
Sarmiento

Boselli (37'), Toledo (76' pen.)
Diaz (60'), Godoy (66'), Rodriguez (85')
Diaz (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Torres (57')
Torres (40'), Guanini (61'), Sauro (63'), Castro (72'), Toledo (76'), Brea (84')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Estudiantes and Sarmiento.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estudiantes

Last Six:

Last Game: Aldosivi 0-1 Estudiantes
Friday, June 10 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Racing Club	14	15	30
2	Estudiantes	13	15	28
3	River Plate	13	18	26

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 62.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 14.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.7%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.

Result
Estudiantes	Draw	Sarmiento
62.25% ( 0.38)	23.64% ( 0.04)	14.11% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 38.97% (

-0.99)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.24% (

-0.8)

58.76% (

0.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.72% (

-0.63)

79.28% (

0.62)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.36% (

-0.16)

18.63% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.05% (

-0.28)

49.94% (

0.27)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.89% (

-1.12)

52.11% (

1.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.92% (

-0.74)

86.07% (

0.74)

Score Analysis

Estudiantes 62.25%

Sarmiento 14.11%

Draw 23.63%

Estudiantes	Draw	Sarmiento
1-0 @ 16.31% ( 0.41) 2-0 @ 13.7% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 5% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 62.25%	1-1 @ 10.63% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.38% Total : 23.63%	0-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.25% Total : 14.11%