Gimnasia

2 - 1

Rosario

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Rosario Central had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.44%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Rosario Central win was 0-1 (12.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gimnasia would win this match.