Independiente have plenty of momentum on their side having enjoyed a seven-match unbeaten streak under Carlos Tevez, and although Barracas Central head into the trip on the back of a return to winning ways, they are yet to establish any real consistency this term, and we can only envisage a home victory on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 64.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 12.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.23%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result
Independiente	Draw	Barracas Central
64.65% ( -0.01)	22.57% ( 0)	12.77% ( 0)

Both teams to score 38.49% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.51% (

-0.01)

57.49% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.71% (

-0.01)

78.28% (

0.01)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.68% (

-0.01)

17.31% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.33% (

-0.01)

47.67% (

0.01)

Barracas Central Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.54% (

-0)

53.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.06% (

-0)

86.93% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Independiente 64.64%

Barracas Central 12.77%

Draw 22.57%

Independiente	Draw	Barracas Central
1-0 @ 16.22% 2-0 @ 14.23% 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.32% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.21% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.65% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 64.64%	1-1 @ 10.16% 0-0 @ 9.25% ( 0) 2-2 @ 2.79% Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.57%	0-1 @ 5.8% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.18% 0-2 @ 1.82% Other @ 1.98% Total : 12.77%