San Lorenzo

4 - 0

Gimnasia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 51.9%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 20.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Lorenzo would win this match.