Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 20

Sep 18, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Estadio Pedro Bidegain

San Lorenzo
0 - 1
River Plate

Cerutti (45+2'), Bareiro (45+2'), Gattoni (70'), Leguizamon (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mammana (40')
Solari (45+2'), Perez (45+2'), Herrera (69'), Borja (90+1'), Suarez (90+5')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between San Lorenzo and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

Last Six:

Last Game: River Plate 1-2 Banfield
Wednesday, September 14 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Estudiantes	13	15	28
3	River Plate	13	18	26
4	Boca Juniors	13	6	24

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 53.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 21.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.7%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 1-0 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for River Plate in this match.

Result
San Lorenzo	Draw	River Plate
21.05% ( -0.15)	25.59% ( 0.01)	53.35% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 45.68% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.47% (

-0.18)

56.53% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.48% (

-0.15)

77.52% (

0.16)

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58% (

-0.26)

42% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.57% (

-0.23)

78.43% (

0.24)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.76% (

-0.01)

21.24% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.86% (

-0.02)

54.15% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

San Lorenzo 21.05%

River Plate 53.35%

Draw 25.58%

San Lorenzo	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 7.74% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.12% Total : 21.05%	1-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.66% Total : 25.58%	0-1 @ 13.82% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 10.7% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.53% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.8% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.86% ( -0) Other @ 3.13% Total : 53.35%