There is not an awful lot between these two sides in terms of quality, and while Barracas will enter the match in the stronger form, we are expecting a very close match on Monday. A case could be made for either to win it, but we have ultimately had to settle on a low-scoring draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 65.65%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 13.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.18%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Tigre	Draw	Barracas Central
65.65% ( -1.35)	21.09% ( 0.66)	13.25% ( 0.7)

Both teams to score 43.58% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.8% (

-1.13)

51.2% (

1.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.96% (

-0.99)

73.04% (

0.99)

Tigre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.17% (

-0.78)

14.82% (

0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.88% (

-1.52)

43.12% (

1.52)

Barracas Central Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.17% (

0.44)

48.83% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.16% (

0.31)

83.84% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Tigre 65.64%

Barracas Central 13.25%

Draw 21.09%

Tigre	Draw	Barracas Central
1-0 @ 13.81% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 13.18% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.33) 3-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.28) 4-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.15) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.1% Total : 65.64%	1-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.56% Total : 21.09%	0-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.65% Total : 13.25%