Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 44.59%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 27.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigre would win this match.

Result
Tigre	Draw	Independiente
44.59% ( 0.64)	27.79% ( -0.08)	27.61% ( -0.57)

Both teams to score 45.85% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.52% (

0.01)

59.48% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.16% (

0.01)

79.84% (

-0.01)

Tigre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.43% (

0.34)

26.57% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.21% (

0.44)

61.79% (

-0.44)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.45% (

-0.46)

37.55% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.67% (

-0.45)

74.33% (

0.45)

Score Analysis

Tigre 44.59%

Independiente 27.61%

Draw 27.79%

Tigre	Draw	Independiente
1-0 @ 13.22% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.96% Total : 44.59%	1-1 @ 12.95% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.98% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.79%	0-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.71% Total : 27.61%