Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 12

Aug 9, 2022 at 12am UK

Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna

Tigre
3 - 1
Rosario

Castro (1'), Retegui (30', 58')
Cabrera (77')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Infantino (14')
Tanlongo (39'), Martinez (61'), Ortiz (83')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Tigre and Rosario Central.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 52.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigre would win this match.

Result
Tigre	Draw	Rosario Central
52.62% ( 0.03)	25.48% ( -0.1)	21.9% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 47.03% (

0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.69% (

0.41)

55.3% (

-0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.48% (

0.34)

76.52% (

-0.34)

Tigre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.95% (

0.18)

21.05% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.15% (

0.28)

53.85% (

-0.28)

Rosario Central Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.57% (

0.3)

40.42% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.96% (

0.27)

77.04% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

Tigre 52.61%

Rosario Central 21.9%

Draw 25.47%

Tigre	Draw	Rosario Central
1-0 @ 13.25% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.37% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.26% Total : 52.61%	1-1 @ 12% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.73% Total : 25.47%	0-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.49% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.29% Total : 21.9%