Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4

Feb 10, 2024 at 12.15am UK

Estadio Jose Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
3 - 1
Gimnasia

Gomez (41'), Aquino (90+6' pen.), Pizzini (90+8')
Romero (48'), Mendez (83'), Pizzini (90+9')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cabral (53')
Canto (51'), Morales (75'), Rodriguez (82'), Cabral (90')
Canto (90+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Gimnasia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions

Last Game: River Plate 5-0 Velez Sarsfield
Sunday, February 4 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Gimnasia

All competitions

Last Game: Independiente 0-1 Gimnasia
Saturday, February 3 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 42.73%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 27.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 2-1 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.23%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result
Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Gimnasia
42.73% ( -0.2)	29.99% ( 0.31)	27.27% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 40.14% (

-0.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.49% (

-0.95)

66.51% (

0.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.07% (

-0.65)

84.93% (

0.65)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.99% (

-0.59)

31.01% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.68% (

-0.7)

67.31% (

0.71)

Gimnasia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.18% (

-0.64)

41.82% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.72% (

-0.57)

78.28% (

0.57)

Score Analysis

Velez Sarsfield 42.73%

Gimnasia 27.27%

Draw 29.98%

Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Gimnasia
1-0 @ 15.18% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.08% Total : 42.73%	1-1 @ 13.23% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.96% ( 0.45) 2-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.41% Total : 29.98%	0-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.18% Total : 27.27%