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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Jul 18, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Estadio José Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
2 - 2
River Plate

Bou (20' pen.), Osorio (90+4')
Perrone (59'), Garayalde (63'), Gomez (89'), Caseres (90'), de los Santos (90')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Beltran (7'), de la Cruz (30')
Gomez (16'), Simon (25'), Zuculini (84'), Casco (87'), Quintero (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and River Plate, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colon 2-1 Velez Sarsfield
Monday, July 11 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 0-2 Godoy Cruz
Monday, July 11 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Velez Sarsfield 1-2 River Plate

Buoyed by their cup win over Barracas Central, River Plate will head into the weekend with renewed confidence as they look to move into the top half of the table. They face a Velez side who have suffered a slump in recent weeks and we predict they will come out victorious on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawRiver Plate
30.88% (-1.501 -1.5) 27.36% (0.212 0.21) 41.76% (1.286 1.29)
Both teams to score 48.71% (-1.148 -1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.34% (-1.216 -1.22)56.65% (1.214 1.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.38% (-0.989 -0.99)77.62% (0.986 0.99)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.49% (-1.688 -1.69)33.51% (1.685 1.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.85% (-1.889 -1.89)70.14% (1.886 1.89)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.25% (0.128 0.13)26.75% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.98% (0.17 0.17)62.02% (-0.172 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 30.88%
    River Plate 41.75%
    Draw 27.36%
Velez SarsfieldDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 9.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.07% (-0.302 -0.3)
2-0 @ 5.36% (-0.249 -0.25)
3-1 @ 2.58% (-0.237 -0.24)
3-0 @ 1.95% (-0.187 -0.19)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 30.88%
1-1 @ 12.92% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.96% (0.41 0.41)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.181 -0.18)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 11.81% (0.58 0.58)
1-2 @ 8.52% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 7.79% (0.41 0.41)
1-3 @ 3.75% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.43% (0.193 0.19)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.019 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 41.75%

How you voted: Velez Sarsfield vs River Plate

Velez Sarsfield
16.7%
Draw
16.7%
River Plate
66.7%
6
Head to Head
Jul 7, 2022 1.30am
Jun 30, 2022 1.30am
Velez Sarsfield
1-0
River Plate
Janson (15' pen.)
Perrone (21'), Gomez (41'), Pratto (70'), Medina (71')

Diaz (18')
Aug 14, 2021 10pm
River Plate
2-0
Velez Sarsfield
Jeremias Fernandez (50'), Romero (90')
Casco (15'), Fontana (80'), Armani (90'), Romero (90+1')

Caseres (65')
Sep 23, 2019 12am
River Plate
1-2
Velez Sarsfield
Fernandez (60')
Armani (82'), Montiel (83')
Dominguez (38'), Almada (83' pen.)
Bouzat (16'), Abram (19'), Gianetti (58'), Dominguez (87')
Dominguez (89')
Feb 4, 2019 12.30am
Velez Sarsfield
1-2
River Plate
Barreal (91')
Laso (66'), Galdames (72')
Gimenez (84')
Borre (49'), Quintero (86' pen.)
Palacios (62'), Suarez (79')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, June 14
 
8pm
Saturday, June 15
 
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Tuesday, June 18
 
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Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
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Saturday, June 22
 
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Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
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Wednesday, June 26
 
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Tables header RHS

Group A

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2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

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2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

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1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

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1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

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1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

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1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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