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[monks data]
Emmen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 21
Feb 6, 2021 at 1pm UK
JenS Vesting
AZ Alkmaar

Emmen
0 - 1
AZ

FT(HT: 0-0)
Sugawara (71')
Hatzidiakos (42')

Preview: Emmen vs. AZ Alkmaar - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Emmen and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

AZ Alkmaar travel to Emmen on Saturday looking to end a run of consecutive defeats which has seen them fall off significantly in the race for the title.

On the other hand, Emmen are still without a league victory 20 games into the season, and it would take a massive turnaround from hereon in to see them avoid relegation.


Match preview

AZ Alkmaar's Albert Guomundsson celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates in October 2020© Reuters

AZ were comfortably beaten 3-0 by Ajax in their last outing on Sunday, leaving them 13 points off the top and most likely, with too much ground to make up.

Only Ajax have lost fewer league games than The Cheeseheads so far, but too many draws along the way have ultimately cost AZ a proper shot at glory.

Pascal Jansen's men must now focus on securing a return to Europe next season, with Groningen breathing heavily down their necks in sixth place.

A trip to Emmen, who they beat 1-0 in the most recent meeting between the sides back in November thanks to a Bruno Martins Indi strike, is a good place to start.

In fact, each of the last five meetings between the teams in all competitions has ended in favour of Saturday's visitors by a combined score of 14 goals to one.

On Sunday, Emmen recorded yet another defeat - their 14th of the campaign - at Willem II in a crucial game down at the bottom of the table.

Courtesy of that victory, Willem II have now moved seven points clear of Emmen in the Eredivisie table, leaving them with all to do if they are to miraculously beat the drop.

Since the inception of the league, only five teams have made a worse start to a season than that of Dick Lukkien's men this term, highlighting how dismal they have been all through.

Emmen Eredivisie form: LLLDLL
Emmen form (all competitions): LLLDLL

AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie form: DWWWLL
AZ Alkmaar form (all competitions): WWLWLL


Team News

AZ Alkmaar players look dejected against Real Sociedad on November 5, 2020© Reuters

Following his promotion from the youth team, Jelle Duin becomes the latest addition to AZ's relatively young attack, which already contains the likes of Myron Boadu and Calvin Stengs.

In response to the consecutive defeats suffered by his team, Pascal Jansen will be considering making some changes which could see Duin make his senior debut.

Collin Seedorf departed Emmen on deadline day, securing a move to FC Eindhoven in search of more playing minutes as he enters into a definitive period of his career.

Glenn Bijl returned to the side for Emmen's defeat to Willem II after a brief injury lay off which kept him out of the previous game against PSV.

Luciano Carty, Lentini Caciano and Marko Kolar will be absent for the game, but Dick Lukkien could have them back for his side's trip to RKC Waalwijk.

Emmen possible starting lineup:
Telgenkamp; Cavlan, Bakker, Veendorp, Bijl; Bernadou, Tibbling, Pena; Ben Moussa, Avdijaj, De Leeuw

AZ Alkmaar possible starting lineup:
Bizot; Wijndal, Martins Indi, Hatzidiakos, Sugawara; Stengs, Koopmeiners, Midtsjo; Karlsson, Boadu, Gudmundsson


SM words green background

We say: Emmen 0-2 AZ Alkmaar

It is almost impossible to envisage where Emmen's first league win of the season is going to come from, and the visit of AZ is expected to spell another defeat for the home side, who simply look too vulnerable at the moment.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Away Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 65.54%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 15.96%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.04%) and 0-1 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Emmen win it was 2-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Emmen vs AZ

Emmen
19.0%
Draw
4.8%
AZ Alkmaar
76.2%
21
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