BATE

4 - 3

Slutsk

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 60.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Slutsk had a probability of 18.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Slutsk win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.