Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Smorgon win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Naftan had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Smorgon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Naftan win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Naftan	Draw	Smorgon
35.83% ( -0.67)	24.69% ( -0.19)	39.47% ( 0.86)

Both teams to score 58.77% (

0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.69% (

0.82)

44.31% (

-0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.31% (

0.79)

66.68% (

-0.79)

Naftan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.71% (

0.01)

24.28% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.34% (

0.02)

58.65% (

-0.02)

Smorgon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.62% (

0.8)

22.38% (

-0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.12% (

1.18)

55.88% (

-1.18)

Score Analysis

Naftan 35.83%

Smorgon 39.47%

Draw 24.69%

Naftan	Draw	Smorgon
2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.28) 2-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.97% Total : 35.83%	1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.69%	1-2 @ 8.62% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.36% Total : 39.47%