Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 83.41%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 5.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.6%) and 1-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.47%), while for a Naftan win it was 0-1 (1.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.

Result
Neman	Draw	Naftan
83.41% ( 0.04)	11.51% ( -0.02)	5.07% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 40.71% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.45% (

0.05)

34.54% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.52% (

0.05)

56.48% (

-0.05)

Neman Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.93% (

0.02)

6.07% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.93% (

0.05)

23.06% (

-0.05)

Naftan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.33% (

-0.02)

56.66% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.15% (

-0.01)

88.85% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Neman 83.4%

Naftan 5.07%

Draw 11.51%

Neman	Draw	Naftan
2-0 @ 13.49% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 12.6% 1-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.16% 4-1 @ 5.02% ( 0) 5-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.31% ( 0) 7-0 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 3.22% Total : 83.4%	1-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.18% ( -0) Other @ 0.43% Total : 11.51%	0-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 1.55% ( -0) Other @ 1.56% Total : 5.07%