Vasco

1 - 6

Flamengo

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.