Both sides have made a slow start to the new season and will view Saturday's fixture as a good opportunity to get their first three points on the board. Vitoria may boast the home advantage, but their defensive frailties could prove costly against an Atletico Goianiense side who have scored in 13 of their last 14 away matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 51.24%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 23.73%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Vitoria win it was 1-0 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Goianiense would win this match.

Result
Vitoria	Draw	Atletico Goianiense
23.73% ( 0.05)	25.03% ( 0)	51.24% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 50.45% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.11% (

0.02)

51.89% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.36% (

0.02)

73.64% (

-0.02)

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.26% (

0.06)

36.74% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.47% (

0.05)

73.53% (

-0.05)

Atletico Goianiense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.75% (

-0.01)

20.25% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.41% (

-0.02)

52.59% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Vitoria 23.73%

Atletico Goianiense 51.24%

Draw 25.02%

Vitoria	Draw	Atletico Goianiense
1-0 @ 7.45% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.78% Total : 23.73%	1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.02%	0-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.49% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.06% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.05% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.02% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 51.24%