Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 24

Feb 27, 2022 at 4.30pm UK

WWK Arena

Augsburg
1 - 1
Dortmund

Sarenren Bazee (78')
Vargas (19'), Dorsch (47')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hazard (35')
Bellingham (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Augsburg 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

Were Haaland fit enough to play a big part on Sunday, we would be predicting a comfortable Dortmund victory, but with their talisman likely to be missing, these are the types of games that Dortmund tend to slip up in. The visitors coped well without Haaland in their demolition of Gladbach last week, and if they can replicate that clinical form on Sunday, then they should have enough in them to see off a struggling Augsburg side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 60.37%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 19.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.01%) and 0-1 (7.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Augsburg	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
19.81%	19.82%	60.37%

Both teams to score 62.49%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.59%

33.4%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.81%

55.19%

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.08%

29.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.98%

66.02%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.17%

10.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.1%

34.9%

Score Analysis

Augsburg 19.81%

Borussia Dortmund 60.37%

Draw 19.82%

Augsburg	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 5.24% 1-0 @ 3.91% 2-0 @ 2.36% 3-2 @ 2.35% 3-1 @ 2.11% 3-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.89% Total : 19.81%	1-1 @ 8.69% 2-2 @ 5.83% 0-0 @ 3.24% 3-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 0.32% Total : 19.82%	1-2 @ 9.66% 0-2 @ 8.01% 0-1 @ 7.2% 1-3 @ 7.16% 0-3 @ 5.93% 2-3 @ 4.32% 1-4 @ 3.98% 0-4 @ 3.3% 2-4 @ 2.4% 1-5 @ 1.77% 0-5 @ 1.47% 2-5 @ 1.07% 3-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.15% Total : 60.37%